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World
Conservation Union (IUCN) Nepal
National
Strategy for Sustainable Development (nssd)
Status
Review and Dialogue
Land
and Agriculture
Devendra
P. Chapagain
January
2001
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View
this document in Acrobat 
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I
Purpose
This is a review of
the current state of policies, programmes, legislative framework and institutions
that singly or in combination concern sustainable land use policy, land
management and agricultural development in the country. This review seeks
to achieve two main goals, namely: (a) provide an insight into the planning,
budgeting/annual programming, implementation, monitoring and evaluation
processes and the role of and the extent of involvement of the major stakeholders,
including the intended/target beneficiaries; and (b) draw lessons/principles
for use by the concerned authorities in Nepal both in ongoing plans/programmes/projects
and those in preparation, and also for the guidelines of donors in providing
aid to Nepal.
The countrys
efforts toward sustainable development, achievements made thus far, and
gaps and weaknesses could not be comprehended properly without first tracing
the historical process of interventions. Hence this paper starts with
such a review of the past, and goes on to the current status. Finally,
based on the past experience, implications are drawn for future actions
that could guide the government and the donor community in more effectively
promoting sustainable development in land use and agricultural development.
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II
Context
Historically, economic
development has been the principal preoccupation of the government ever
since the overthrow of the Rana Rule in 1951. Planned development began
in 1956 with the launching of the First (five-year) Plan that year, and
the country is mid-way into the implementation of the Ninth (five-year)
Plan. On the other hand, sustainable development is relatively a new concept
in the development history of Nepal.
For the past nearly
four decades, the agriculture sector of Nepal has been caught in a spiral
of low growth (see APROSC and JMA 1985, chapter 1). Yet, little analytical
work appears to have been undertaken to ascertain the principal determinants
of this phenomenon, and much less on initiating effective remedial measures.
All we know in general terms is that this predominant sector of the economy
is still overwhelmingly subsistence-oriented, highly diversified at the
farm level (an antithesis of specialisation and commercialisation), and
grossly ill served with access to modern productive inputs and technology
delivery services.
In recent years (1984/85-1999/00),
Nepal's GDP in real terms has grown at an annual rate of slightly less
than five percent (Table 1). In contrast, agricultural GDP during the
same period grew only by less than three percent. These growth rates were
still lower during the period 1974/75-1983/84. However, these differences
are mainly due to the official revision of agricultural and national GDP
series from 1984/85 onwards, rather than due to a perceptible shift in
the overall structure of the economy and on the technological frontier.
In any case, these trends, when compared to the annual population growth
of about 2.5 percent, present a quite disturbing picture.
Table 1: Growth in
Real GDP, Nepal, in Percent
|
Items
|
1974/75-1983/84
|
1984/85-1999/2000
|
|
Total GDP
|
2.95
|
4.93
|
|
Agricultural GDP
|
1.73
|
2.90
|
|
Nonagricultural GDP
|
5.23
|
6.87
|
Note:
These are annual average growth rates computed by fitting least-squares
log-linear regression lines.
Source
of basic data: HMGN, Ministry of Finance, Economic Survey (1999/2000).
The production of
the two principal food crops (paddy and maize) over the period 1974/75-1996/97
grew nationally by less than 0.5 percent per year, with negative to near
zero growth in the mountains and hills. These alarming trends for paddy
and maize were to some extent compensated for by the rather encouraging
growths in wheat and potato (Table 2).
Table
2: Average Annual Growth Rates in the Production of Four Major Crops,
1974/75-1996/97, in Percent
|
Regions
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Crops
|
| |
Paddy
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Maize
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Wheat
|
Potato
|
|
Nepal
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0.37
|
0.47
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3.78
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4.01
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Mountains
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-0.32
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-0.35
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5.36
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3.43
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Hills
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-0.02
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0.13
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2.99
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3.33
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Terai
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1.68
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1.88
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4.16
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5.62
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Note:
Calculated the same way as Table 1.
Source
of basic data: HMGN, Ministry of Agriculture.
The rather insignificant
three percent growth in the country's predominant economic sector¾
employing more than 80 percent of the economically active population and
contributing around two-fifths to the gross domestic product¾ is
quite inadequate to meet the country's growing food demand, and to trigger
a process of overall economic transformation.
It is also noteworthy
that the proportion of the economically active population depending on
agriculture has fallen by about 13 percentage points in the past two decades,
from 94 percent in 1971 to 81 percent in 1991. On the other hand, the
share of this sector in the GDP has dropped more sharply, from around
72 percent in 1974/75 to 40 percent in 1997/98. These disproportionate
drops in the sector's share in the total employment and income indicate
a declining productivity within the sector.
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III
Policies and Programmes
Government policies,
strategy and priorities as reflected in the two previous periodic plans
(Seventh and Eighth Plans) and the current Ninth Plan, among others, are:
(a) high priority to the provision of production inputs in irrigated areas
for food production, and around the processing plants for supplying industrial
raw materials; (b) concentration of efforts for the production of perishables
such as fruits, vegetables, milk and fish in accessible areas; (c) protection
of tenants through rent fixation; (d) expansion of irrigation, particularly
hill irrigation; and (e) afforestation through a participatory approach
(NPC 1985, 1992, 1998). Following the preparation of the Agriculture Perspective
Plan and its endorsement by the government in 1995, the Ninth Plan has
reiterated the crucial importance of the agricultural sector in the overall
economic transformation by adopting an agriculture led growth strategy.
A comparison of the
objective statements of the previous Seventh and Eighth Plans and the
current Ninth Plan indicates broad similarities both at the aggregate
and at the sub-sectoral levels, although the Eighth Plan put more emphasis
on regional balance and the need to take advantage of the ecological diversity
of the country, while the Ninth Plan has relied heavily on effective implementation
of the Agriculture Perspective Plan. Similarly, a concern for environmental
protection and preservation of the country's biodiversity is explicit
in the Eighth and Ninth Plan documents. Insofar as the issue of poverty
alleviation is concerned, the Seventh Plan document has treated it through
the "fulfilment of basic needs, and increasing productive employment opportunities",
while the Eighth and Ninth Plans have devoted separate chapters on this
issue. In fact, the Ninth Plans main objective is to reduce poverty
through the implementation of programmes in the identified priority sectors
such as agriculture; water resources; social sector; industry, tourism
and international trade; and physical infrastructure.
The distinguishing
feature of the Ninth Plan is the adoption of a 20 year perspective and
its emphasis on an agriculture led and integrated cross-sectoral development
approach.
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IV
Ninth Plan
The strategy of the
Ninth Plan is "integrated development of agriculture and forestry
sectors and high, sustainable and poverty alleviation-oriented economic
growth with a focus on those sectors" (NPC 1998; p. 73). The plan
seeks to achieve high economic growth through effective implementation
of the Agriculture Perspective Plan by increasing agricultural productivity
by "guaranteeing the safety of land ownership, giving the landless
access to land, extending land ownership, and alleviating poverty through
the promotion of economic growth and employment by establishing, developing
and expanding agro-based industries" (Ibid., p. 73).
Environment and sustainable
resource management is recognised in the Ninth Plan as well. It defines
resource management from the standpoint of sustainable economic development
as fulfilling the needs of the present and future without depleting the
available stock of resources (p. 270).
The following are
the objectives of the plan regarding environment and sustainable development
(p. 275):
- Consolidate the
functions of the environment cells and planning sections of various
ministries to ensure integration of environmental considerations in
the overall economic development process;
- improve the work
efficiency of human resource engaged in environment related areas;
- establish coordination
among the agencies concerned with environment and development;
- adopt an integrated
approach toward environment and development;
- formulate and
coordinate legal provisions related to national resource conservation';
- expand the coverage
with respect to biodiversity;
- continue scientific
approach to forest management;
- fix emission and
effluent standards and enforce mandatory and voluntary measures for
pollution control;
- devise legal measures
to effectively mobilise the nongovernmental organisations and private
sector in environmental protection, public health and waste management;
- adopt consistent
policies related to economic and fiscal matters and the environment;
and
- minimise the loss
to life, property, national heritage and development infrastructures
arising from natural disasters, establish an appropriate organisation
for natural disaster management and develop national capacity for disaster
control.
A separate section
is devoted to "environment and agriculture" (Chapter 10, Section
11) under which emphasis is given to the need for balanced use of fertilizers
and integrated plant nutrition management (IPNM), integrated pest management
(IPM), appropriate land use, conservation of the Siwalik zone, community
and leasehold forestry programmes, application of bioengineering methods
in the construction of agricultural roads, and promotion of perennial
horticultural and cash crops in the mountains and hills.
The plan spells out
the following 20 different areas as the major sectors of development thrust
(Ibid., pp. 76-104), and these do not include sustainable development:
(i) Macro-economic stability; (ii) poverty alleviation; (iii) population
planning and family welfare; (iv) human resource development; (v) domestic
savings mobilisation; (vi) development of private sector and enhancement
of competitiveness; (vii) science and technology; (viii) information technology;
(ix) development of agriculture sector; (x) electricity development; (xi)
tourism development; (xii) utilisation of ecological variations and biodiversity;
(xiii) regional balance; (xiv) development of backward regions; (xv) productivity
enhancement and quality management; (xvi) development of agro-industries;
(xvii) decentralisation and strengthening of local self-governance; (xviii)
mobilisation of NGOs for local development; (xix) womens development
and empowerment; and (xx) administrative reforms.
However, interrelated
areas such as (i) environment and natural resource management, (ii) land
use plan and land reform, and (iii) forest development appear in a separate
chapter (Chapter 9) entitled "Environment and Sustainable Resource".
Agriculture in the
Ninth Plan
Sector objectives
in the Ninth Plan are the following:
- Poverty alleviation
through increased productivity of resources and inputs;
- prevention of
adverse environmental impacts of external (purchased) inputs and natural
resources through their balanced use;
- Promotion of agro-based
industries and industrialization through diversification and commercialization
of agriculture;
- Enhancing womens
participatory role in agricultural development and develop their leadership
in productive activities; and
- Improve the peoples
nutritional level and food security through the production of food and
nutritive products.
The Ninth Plan treats
agriculture as the lead sector, meaning that developments in other sectors
and subsectors (such as irrigation, roads, electricity, industry and trade)
would be designed with a view to making a positive contribution toward
meeting the objectives of the agricultural sector. The plan envisages
to restructure and reorient the programmes, budgetary allocations, human
resource mobilisation and institutional resources along the priorities
mentioned in the APP. Consistent with the APP strategy, the plan seeks
to adopt an integrated approach by simultaneously dealing with interrelated
areas such as land reform (limited to removal of dual ownership and attention
to squatters and kamaiyas), irrigation, agricultural roads, agricultural
cooperatives and agro-industries.
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V
Resource Allocation
In terms of allocation
of public sector resources, the agricultural sector (broadly defined to
include agriculture, forestry, fisheries and irrigation) has been receiving
the highest share of public expenditure, particularly since the Sixth
Plan period. Of the total amount of Rs 19,815 million spent on this sector
in real terms during the period 1984/85-1994/95, the share of agriculture
proper was 38.7 percent, while that of irrigation was 43.8 percent. Forestry
accounted for the balance (16.7%), while land reform received only a marginal
(less than 1%) amount (Table 3).
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Table 3: Public Sector
Development Expenditure in Agriculture (Rs.'000), (1984/85-1994/95)
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Agriculture
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Irrigation
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Land
Reform
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Forestry
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Total
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|
Year
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Nominal
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Real
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%
|
Nominal
|
Real
|
%
|
Nominal
|
Real
|
%
|
Nominal
|
Real
|
%
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Nominal
|
Real
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%
|
|
84/85
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703.6
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703.6
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42.28
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652.2
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652.2
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39.19
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17.9
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17.9
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1.08
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290.4
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290.4
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17.45
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1664.1
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1664.1
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100
|
|
85/86
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856.2
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738.1
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41.03
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846.7
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729.9
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40.57
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18.9
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16.3
|
0.91
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365.0
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314.7
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17.49
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2086.8
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1799.0
|
100
|
|
86/87
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681.7
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516.4
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35.07
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846.8
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641.5
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43.57
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26.7
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20.2
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1.37
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388.4
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294.2
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19.98
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1943.6
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1472.3
|
100
|
|
87/88
|
928.9
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623.4
|
41.24
|
854.7
|
573.6
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37.94
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19.6
|
13.1
|
0.87
|
449.6
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301.7
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19.95
|
2252.8
|
1511.8
|
100
|
|
88/89
|
1016.2
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627.3
|
31.51
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1623.2
|
1002
|
50.33
|
29.3
|
18.0
|
0.91
|
556.7
|
343.6
|
17.25
|
3225.4
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1990.9
|
100
|
|
89/90
|
1183.5
|
650.3
|
62.62
|
1204.8
|
66.2
|
40.51
|
38.8
|
21.3
|
1.30
|
547.2
|
300.7
|
18.39
|
2974.3
|
1038.5
|
100
|
|
90/91
|
1534.6
|
787.0
|
48.66
|
1118.9
|
573.8
|
35.48
|
40.4
|
20.7
|
1.28
|
460.1
|
235.9
|
14.58
|
3154.0
|
1617.4
|
100
|
|
91/92
|
1276.0
|
550.0
|
28.97
|
2212.2
|
953.5
|
50.23
|
31.3
|
13.5
|
0.71
|
884.3
|
381.2
|
20.08
|
4403.8
|
1898.2
|
100
|
|
92/93
|
2077.2
|
827.6
|
41.31
|
2017.3
|
803.7
|
40.11
|
5.9
|
2.3
|
0.12
|
928.8
|
370.0
|
18.46
|
5029.2
|
2003.6
|
100
|
|
93/94
|
2300.3
|
842.6
|
35.37
|
3232.1
|
1183.9
|
49.70
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.06
|
966.5
|
354.0
|
14.86
|
6503.1
|
2382.0
|
100
|
|
94/95
|
2348.0
|
801.4
|
43.56
|
2637.1
|
900.0
|
48.92
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.03
|
404.0
|
137.9
|
7.49
|
5390.8
|
1839.9
|
100
|
|
Total
|
14906.2
|
7670.7
|
38.71
|
17246.0
|
8674.3
|
43.78
|
234.2
|
145.4
|
0.73
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6241.0
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3324.3
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16.78
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38627.9
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19814.7
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100
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Source:
HMGN,
Ministry of Finance, Economic Surveys.
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Within the irrigation
subsector, a large chunk of the resources has gone to large and long-gestation
surface irrigation projects whose reliability, utility and cost recovery
have been widely questioned. The Eighth Plan itself says: "Construction
works of big projects planned to provide irrigation facilities to large
areas [are] not being completed in time and completed projects [are] not
operating in full capacity. [There is] no timely availability of water
required for irrigation and [there is] increasing financial burden on
HMG due to disappointing realization of water cess and consequent need
to make large annual budgetary investments in repair and maintenance of
the system. Per hectare costs of projects constructed at the government
level [are] higher" (NPC 1992, p. 262). Yet, the share of resources allocated
to the large projects in the total public sector outlay for irrigation
is higher (75%) in the Eight Plan as compared to the Seventh Plan (66%).
The reason seems to be the commitment made with the donors during the
past plans and protracted delays in their completion.
A study on public
resource allocation to agriculture (Thapa 1994) showed that the resources
allocated particularly for research and extension services is declining
in real terms. The same study also indicated that a substantial portion
of the budget allocated to agriculture proper (i.e., crops, livestock
and fisheries) was for the purpose of subsidising fertilizer prices (withdrawn
recently).
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VI
Constraints and Awareness Regarding Sustainable Development
Misplaced Priorities
A serious weakness
lies in the way main development problems and constraints are identified
in one way and policy prescriptions and development programmes are implemented
another way. For instance, lack of physical and institutional infrastructure,
rugged terrain, and land-locked geographic position and open and porous
border with India are often cited as the main hurdles to Nepals
development. The array of macro-economic policy prescriptions made by
the influential donors in the wake of liberalisation and privatisation,
for example, suffer from this fallacy. The hasty move to privatise some
of the activities dealing with the distribution of critical and sensitive
production inputs such as chemical fertilizers without considering the
prerequisites of prior preparation is an example of the false assumptions
related to institutional infrastructure[1]. Of direct
concern to the agriculture sector is the confusion created by such false
assumptions regarding the role of the government and the private sector
in the actual distribution of farm inputs and outputs vis-a-vis assurance
of quality and safety of the products and services traded.
A prudent approach
under such a situation would be to give priority to the development of
basic physical and institutional infrastructures. The rugged terrain and
the land-locked situation in fact imply the need for more of physical
infrastructures such as transport and communication networks than are
required under relatively easier geographic conditions. Another important
requirement is to strengthen the key institutions and develop the countrys
internal capacity to recognise the changing internal and external milieu
and to adjust itself accordingly. It includes the development of internal
capability to redefine the role of the existing institutions rather than
to destroy them to create yet another unsustainable (hence temporary)
institution. Unfortunately, destruction of the existing institutions,
mostly at the behest of the donors, has become a predominant
feature of the recent past.
Administrative Instability
Destabilisation of
the administrative machinery seems to be an endemic phenomenon in Nepal.
It manifests itself in the all too frequent personnel turnover. Every
time a minister changes, a wave of personnel turnover takes place at all
the levels, starting with the Secretary of the concerned ministry and
then on to the lower echelons pervading the entire organisation. Considering
the fact that the Nepalese bureaucracy is relatively young and that personal
attention and attitude of the managers still heavily influence most of
the development activities, the effects of such turnover is detrimental.
Since the country is extremely diverse, full knowledge of the socio-economic
and agro-ecological nuances is a sine qua non for any programme
to succeed. Viewed from this angle, the effect of the frequent personnel
turnover on agricultural development is disastrous.
The turnover rate
was equally high in other entities, such as the Agricultural Inputs Corporation
(AIC) (responsible for fertilizers and seeds), Agricultural Development
Bank (ADBN) (which provides credit), and the Ministry of Water Resources
(MOWR) and the Department of Irrigation under it (which is responsible
for irrigation).
Lack of continuity
in the programme is an immediate effect of such personnel changes. As
a result, the same or similar programmes are repeated time and again.
A new donor may pick up a programme as a new one, especially if the programme
is initiated after some hiatus and the initial donor or collaborator has
withdrawn. This leads to frustration among those who have seen such repetition
time and again. With the passage of time, these frustrated individuals
become senior staff members in the administration. This tendency in itself
has become a serious constraint to Nepals agricultural development
as the available scarce resources are wasted.
Therefore, the real
challenge lies in avoiding such a tendency. The best strategy to do so
would be to empower the entities that provide continuity through full
decentralisation. This means delegation of authority to the point
of action within the organisation, and devolution of authority
to the local bodies and peoples representatives at the grass-roots
level, and to the lower echelons of bureaucracy.
Considerable stability
potentially exists at the District Development Committee (DDC) level since
its members are elected for a term of five years, and the chair rarely
changes during that period. Besides, according to the recent decentralisation
move, the DDC is expected to play a coordinators role and serve
as the focal point for all the development activities at the district
level. As will be referred to later also, this is the brightest spot on
the scene that should be capitalised for agricultural development as well.
Excessive Dependence
on Donors
About two-thirds of
the development budget (capital expenditure) of His Majestys Government
of Nepal (HMGN) is derived from external sources either as grant-in-aid
or as long term loan. In the recent years, the proportion of external
loan[2] is rapidly increasing as compared to grant-in-aid.
All political parties that have formed the government since 1991 have
taken the instance that higher levels of foreign aid are an indicator
of their popularity among the donors. As a result, regardless of their
preaching and ideological orientation, all the governments formed since
the general election of 1991 have given priority to increasing the volume
of foreign "assistance", while relegating the relevance of the
"assistance" to secondary or tertiary level. This tendency has
contributed to increasing the already high level of external dependence.
It has also become a constraint to efficient resource allocation as most
of the domestic resources including technical manpower are tied to the
"assistance" as counterpart contribution.
The destabilised bureaucracy
hardly gets any chance to maintain continuity and the associated advantage
in negotiating with the donors. The mandate and priorities
of the various donors operating in Nepal seem to be constantly
changing, regardless of Nepals needs and priorities. In a situation
like this, it is easily conceivable that the real priorities of Nepal
are relegated to a secondary position[3]. Thus such
a heavy dependence on the donors has become a serious constraint to maintaining
the minimally required continuity in any programme, let alone the question
of assessing its long-term sustainability[4].
In effect, the above
situation demands a much higher degree of professionalism, continuity,
and a full understanding of the countrys basic problems and requirements
on the part of donors and cooperators. Given its level of development,
the possibility of Nepals essential requirements differing from
the priorities and the agenda of the donors should not be ruled out. Therefore,
the issues are how to: (a) insure that the countrys requirements
receive priority considerations; and (b) avoid potential wastage of resources
and frustration.
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VII
Sector Specific Issues and Constraints
The sector specific
policy and institutional issues and constraints are manifest in a number
of ways. The frequently cited cases include the unavailability of good
quality seeds and chemical fertilizers, inadequacy of irrigation facilities,
lack of technical know-how, inadequacy of the extension services, disease
and pest infestation problems, lack of market opportunities, and inadequacy
of credit facilities. To facilitate the analysis and identification of
policy actions, these constraints could also be reclassified as: (a) domestically
produced inputs which include seeds, planting and breeding materials,
and irrigation facilities; (b) internationally procured inputs such as
chemical fertilizers, pesticides and herbicides; and (c) support services
such as agricultural credit, markets and marketing facilities. In general,
their origins lie in the lack of prioritisation. Wherever a semblance
of priority existed in the past, they either lacked continuity or were
uncoordinated with other activities.
Seeds and Planting
Materials
Inadequacy, lack of
timely availability, or poor quality of seeds and planting and propagation
materials are repeatedly cited among the avoidable, yet the most serious,
widespread and recurring constraints. Unavailability of seeds of high
yielding cereal varieties at affordable prices cited as one of
the constraints faced by the farmers has two dimensions. The first is
related to the actual physical shortage or unavailability. The second
is related to the price or affordability. Both are interrelated.
A variety of approaches have been tried in the past to remove these constraints,
and yet, they persist. It is a result of the predominance of subsistence
production on small farms across the diverse agro-ecological conditions
amidst rudimentary transport infrastructure throughout most of Nepal.
The situation does not favour large-scale production and distribution
of limited varieties of any given crop and to take advantage of economies
of scale. On the contrary, these physical limitations contribute to increasing
the cost of distribution, especially the seeds of cereal grains. The varieties
have to be commercially attractive and promise high returns. On the other
hand, the research system is compelled to recommend only those varieties
that are suitable for relatively low fertility and low-external inputs
regime because fertilizer is not easily available and most of the Nepalese
agriculture is still rainfed. The latter situation and its requirements
somehow lead to selection of varieties that do not yield much.
Table 4 presented
below indicates the results of such a policy. Ever since its establishment
in the early 1960s, the agricultural research system of Nepal has
recommended 44, 15 and 27 improved varieties of rice, maize and wheat,
respectively. The highest average yield levels achieved in the research
stations under optimum technical conditions are taken as the potential
yields of the recommended varieties. Measured against this yardstick,
the potential yield of the highest yielding variety of paddy is just about
50 percent higher than the average yield achieved by farmers of Kathmandu,
the district which recorded the highest average yield for that crop in
1998/99. The situation is slightly better for wheat and maize. Yet their
potential is still lower than the national average yields of the country
with the highest yields of these crops within the Asia-Pacific Region
save the case of wheat for New Zealand.
Table 4: Potential
Yields of Recommended Varieties of Paddy, Maize and Wheat in Comparison
with the Highest Ads Obtained within Nepal and in the Asia-Pacific Region
|
Yield
Range (Mt/Ha)
|
Crop
|
| |
Paddy
|
Maize
|
Wheat
|
|
|
Early
|
Summer
|
|
|
|
3.0
to < 3.5
|
-
|
2
|
23
|
-
|
|
3.5
to < 4.0
|
3
|
5
|
2
|
-
|
|
4.0
to < 4.5
|
3
|
8
|
7
|
8
|
|
4.5
to < 5.0
|
4
|
3
|
2
|
3
|
|
5.0
to < 5.5
|
-
|
1
|
1
|
11
|
|
5.5
to < 6.0
|
-
|
2
|
-
|
4
|
|
6.0
to < 6.5
|
-
|
3
|
1
|
-
|
|
6.5
to < 7.0
|
-
|
4
|
-
|
1
|
|
7.0
to < 7.5
|
-
|
2
|
-
|
-
|
|
7.5
to < 8.0
|
-
|
4
|
-
|
-
|
|
Total
|
10
|
34
|
15
|
27
|
|
Average
yields (1998/99) of:
|
|
Nepal
|
-4
|
2.452
|
1.68
|
1.70
|
|
District
with highest yield
|
|
Kathmandu
|
Bara
|
Rautahat
|
|
Yield
|
-4
|
5.00
|
2.72
|
2.40
|
|
AsiaPacific
(AP)1
|
|
6.50
|
6.53
|
1.94
|
|
Highest
country in AP
|
|
Australia
|
New
Zealand
|
New
Zealand
|
|
Yield
|
-4
|
10.27
|
9.78
|
5.19
|
Notes:
(1)
Figures for the Asia-Pacific region refer to the year 1998.
(2)
The figures refer to the average of both early and summer paddy.
(3)
The yield of one variety was as low as 2.2 mt per ha.
(4)
Separate figures are not available for the yield of early paddy.
Sources:
MOA (1999), Statistical Information on Nepalese Agriculture 1998/99; and
FAO (1999), Selected Indicators of Food and Agriculture Development in
Asia-Pacific Region, 1988-98, Regional Office for Asia and the Pacific.
Most of the seed production
and distribution in Nepal is traditionally extremely decentralised. It
is still in the hands of millions of farmers, and it is explained, at
least partly, by the above reality. It should be taken as the major determinant
in designing a seed production and distribution strategy. Yet, it seems
consistently ignored. On the contrary, attempts were made in the past
to produce and distribute seeds through a centralised system via the AIC.
All decisions would take place in Kathmandu in the headquarters of the
AIC as this approach is bureaucratically convenient. This is the crux
of the problem. They failed, as was to be expected.
It should be clear
at this point that the problem was not with the AIC as an institution
as such. It is with the enforcement of a centralised system of planning
and control. The extreme ecological diversity together with physical inaccessibility
due to poor transport and communication facilities has created a variety
of isolated micro-economies in Nepal. This reality demands a decentralised
management system. What has actually been adopted in Nepal is a centralised
system. Hence the anomaly.
The issue of affordability
has three aspects which need attention. The first is related to the actual
cost of production and distribution. The preponderance of small-scale
production of several varieties of a given crop is a reality dictated
inter alia by diverse ecological conditions of the country. As
mentioned above, decentralised production and distribution is the only
policy option in this situation to reduce the cost of production, especially
to ensure proper distribution in the short run. In the medium to long
run, however, improvement in transport is necessary in order to reduce
the cost of distribution. The second aspect of the issue of affordability
is the factor-product price regime. The existing price regime vis-a-vis
the expected yield from the open pollinated varieties of cereal crops
does not make them commercially attractive. The third aspect is related
to expectation. Thanks to the donor driven projects and programmes, farmers
expect free or highly subsidised distribution of production inputs at
their doorstep. "In spite of the farmers willingness to use
improved seeds, they perceive that the price of AIC seeds is high",
as reported in the Shakya study[5]. It is essentially
a reflection of such expectations created by the earlier donor sponsored
interventions. Donors cooperation is necessary to rectify the situation.
What has been said
about the seeds of the cereal crops is true of fruit plants and young
animals as well. Shortage of seeds, planting materials and the like (in
the livestock sub-sector) has become a constraint of generic nature. Despite
years of efforts, and a very high potential to produce these
critical inputs domestically, a lasting solution is yet to be found. Generally,
the search has been for a solution from within the hard-core agriculture
sector, that too confined to the technicalities. A sustainable solution,
however, requires more investment and effort outside the realm of the
hard-core agriculture sector. This is the crux of the problem.
Unavailability of
Chemical Fertilizers
A study mentioned
earlier observed that "low crop yields in Nepal are mainly due to
severe soil fertility constraints. This in turn is due to slow growth
in fertilizer use and declining availability of organic manure. Chronic
inadequacy of aggregate fertilizer has been, and continues to be, the
most binding constraint to rapid growth of fertilizer use in the country.
Analysis of both demand and supply bear this out"[6].
This constraint has become more serious recently as the result of a confluence
of policy rigidities on the domestic front and developments in the external
sector.
A brief recapitulation
of the historical background to fertilizer marketing and pricing is necessary
in order to understand fully the underlying reasons behind this situation.
Mineral fertilizer was introduced to Nepal as late as in 1960/61. Until
1965, import and distribution of fertilizer was in the hands of the private
sector traders without government interference[7]. To
begin with, the government accepted the donors recommendations to
popularize the use of fertilizer[8] as a mean to increasing
food production. A number of donors supported this policy. They not only
provided fertilizers on a grant basis[9], but they also
helped to create the Agricultural Supply Corporation (ASC) as the sole
agency for fertilizer procurement and distribution, and in rapidly expanding
it. In essence, the present AIC[10] is a reorganised
ASC. Thus, it were the donors, which pushed for the governments
heavy involvement in fertilizer trade.
On the pricing front,
until 1972, fertilizer prices were determined on the basis of cost (to
AIC) plus principle although AIC and its predecessor organisations were
created for service, not as a profit making organisation. Generally, a
donor would provide fertilizers on grant. These fertilizers would be sold
at a predetermined price, which would generally be close to the sales
price in the adjoining areas of India. It would also consider the international
cost-insurance-freight (c.i.f.) price up to Calcutta, the port of entry,
plus the cost of transport and marketing. The sales proceeds after deducting
the AICs costs were deposited in a specially created counterpart
fund account of the respective donor. The monies so generated in
the counterpart fund were then spent on | | |